Fed holds at 3.75–4%, 10–2, with two votes for a hike
The October 28, 2026 FOMC kept the range at 3-3/4 to 4 percent; Cook and Hammack wanted a quarter point more. Next morning: GDP +3.4%, PCE inflation 3.6%.
The data feed reports an observation dated 5 Nov 2026, newer than this release. It has not been written up yet, so this page still shows Federal funds target range, decision of 16 Sep 2026. It is not out of date — it is the most recent release we have verified.
The Fed raised the target range by a quarter point to 3.75–4.00% on 16 September. The vote was unanimous — 12–0 — after July's three dissents.
| Decision | Raise by 1/4 percentage point, to 3-3/4 to 4 percent |
|---|---|
| Vote | 12–0 |
| Change from previous | +25 basis points, from 3.50–3.75% |
| What changed since July | July's decision was a hold carried 9–3 with three dissents wanting exactly this increase. Seven weeks later the whole Committee agreed with them. |
| Why it matters | Headline CPI had not fallen — 3.4% in August, with the monthly pace accelerating to 0.4% — and the labour market had stopped looking weak once July was revised to a gain. |
The October 28, 2026 FOMC kept the range at 3-3/4 to 4 percent; Cook and Hammack wanted a quarter point more. Next morning: GDP +3.4%, PCE inflation 3.6%.
The year-end Treasury ledger shows receipts up 3.2%, outlays up 5.5% and the deficit up $217.1bn on fiscal 2025. Interest took 19.5¢ of each receipt dollar.
BEA's advance estimate of July–September 2026 GDP is scheduled for October 29. A guide: three estimates, the annualizing formula, what is already known.