Fed holds at 3.75–4%, 10–2, with two votes for a hike
The October 28, 2026 FOMC kept the range at 3-3/4 to 4 percent; Cook and Hammack wanted a quarter point more. Next morning: GDP +3.4%, PCE inflation 3.6%.
The Fed held rates at 3.50–3.75% on 29 July in a 9–3 vote. All three dissents wanted an increase, not a cut.
| Decision | Hold at 3.50–3.75% |
|---|---|
| Vote | 9–3 |
| Dissents | Three presidents preferred a 25 basis point increase. |
| Why it matters | Dissents in the hawkish direction, with payrolls flat, is an unusual combination — it says the Committee was more worried about inflation than about the labour market. |
The October 28, 2026 FOMC kept the range at 3-3/4 to 4 percent; Cook and Hammack wanted a quarter point more. Next morning: GDP +3.4%, PCE inflation 3.6%.
The year-end Treasury ledger shows receipts up 3.2%, outlays up 5.5% and the deficit up $217.1bn on fiscal 2025. Interest took 19.5¢ of each receipt dollar.
BEA's advance estimate of July–September 2026 GDP is scheduled for October 29. A guide: three estimates, the annualizing formula, what is already known.